Alabama
W-L: (42-20) PR = 97.0799Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4- 8 214 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 8- 1 214 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 11- 1 217 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 7 218 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 2-15 220 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 19- 7 221 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 8- 5 221 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 11- 1 224 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4-14 227 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 12- 2 228 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 8- 7 301 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 2- 0 303 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 4 304 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 13- 2 306 A Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 7- 4 307 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 9- 3 308 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 12- 2 310 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 3 313 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 4- 7 314 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 7- 8 315 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 4- 6 317 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3- 1 320 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 0 321 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 8-19 322 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 14- 7 324 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 6- 2 327 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 11- 1 328 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 2 329 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 1 331 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 3 402 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 10- 7 403 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 2- 4 404 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 2 407 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 16-10 410 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 5- 1 411 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 6-15 412 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2- 3 414 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 12- 6 417 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-10 418 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 419 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2- 1 421 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 2-11 423 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 12- 8 424 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 0-10 424 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 4-11 430 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 4 501 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 5- 0 502 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 8- 5 505 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 1- 6 508 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 8- 3 509 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 9- 6 510 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 7- 6 514 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 5- 3 515 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 0- 6 516 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 521 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3-13 529 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 21- 3 530 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 7- 5 530 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 7- 5 531 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 9- 7 606 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 8- 0 615 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Washington State 4- 8 -4 4 --- -7.75
214 H Washington State 8- 1 7 4 + 3.25
214 H Washington State 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.25
217 H Ole Miss 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.09
218 A Eastern Illinois 2-15 -13 3 --- -15.61
220 A San Francisco 19- 7 12 5 +++ 6.58
221 H Rhode Island 8- 5 3 8 -- -4.50
221 H Rhode Island 11- 1 10 8 + 2.50
224 A Southern Miss 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.78
227 A Iowa 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.43
228 A Oregon State 8- 7 1 0 0.87
301 A Abilene Christian 2- 0 2 3 -0.78
303 A Stetson 6- 4 2 4 -1.64
304 H Louisiana Tech 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.91
306 A Holy Cross 7- 4 3 5 - -2.35
307 H North Florida 9- 3 6 4 1.71
308 H North Florida 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.71
310 H Troy 7- 3 4 2 + 2.47
313 A Kentucky 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.49
314 A Kentucky 7- 8 -1 0 -1.49
315 A Kentucky 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.49
317 H Texas 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.71
320 H Florida 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.51
321 A Charlotte 8-19 -11 2 --- -13.29
322 H Florida 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 7.51
324 H Austin Peay 6- 2 4 5 -1.00
327 H Auburn 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 11.12
328 H Auburn 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.12
329 H Auburn 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.12
331 A Jacksonville State 4- 3 1 -1 1.68
402 A Oklahoma 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.66
403 A Oklahoma 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.34
404 A Oklahoma 3- 2 1 -1 1.66
407 A Kansas State 16-10 6 0 +++ 6.21
410 A East Carolina 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.33
411 H Arkansas 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.24
412 H Arkansas 2- 3 -1 0 -1.24
414 A UAB 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.47
417 A Texas 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.94
418 A Texas 1- 3 -2 -3 1.06
419 A Texas 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.06
421 H UAB 2-11 -9 3 --- -11.88
423 A Tennessee 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.28
424 A Tennessee 0-10 -10 0 --- -9.72
424 A Tennessee 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.72
430 H Vanderbilt 5- 4 1 1 0.37
501 H Pittsburgh 5- 0 5 1 + 3.61
502 H Vanderbilt 8- 5 3 1 + 2.37
505 A Troy 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.18
508 A South Carolina 8- 3 5 2 + 3.15
509 A South Carolina 9- 6 3 2 1.15
510 A South Carolina 7- 6 1 2 -0.85
514 A Jacksonville State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.68
515 A Tulane 0- 6 -6 2 --- -8.00
516 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 0 + 3.91
521 H Florida 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.49
529 H Alabama State 21- 3 18 6 +++ 8.01
530 A South Carolina Upstate 7- 5 2 1 0.57
530 A South Carolina Upstate 7- 5 2 1 0.57
531 A Oklahoma State 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.84
606 H St. John's 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.40
615 A Texas 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Washington State 4- 8 -4 4 --- -7.75 218 A Eastern Illinois 2-15 -13 3 --- -15.61 224 A Southern Miss 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.78 321 A Charlotte 8-19 -11 2 --- -13.29 411 H Arkansas 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.24 421 H UAB 2-11 -9 3 --- -11.88 424 A Tennessee 0-10 -10 0 --- -9.72 424 A Tennessee 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.72 515 A Tulane 0- 6 -6 2 --- -8.00 521 H Florida 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.49 615 A Texas 2-14 -12 -3 --- -8.94 217 H Ole Miss 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.09 221 H Rhode Island 8- 5 3 8 -- -4.50 417 A Texas 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.94 505 A Troy 1- 6 -5 0 -- -5.18 306 A Holy Cross 7- 4 3 5 - -2.35 313 A Kentucky 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.49 315 A Kentucky 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Washington State 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.25 220 A San Francisco 19- 7 12 5 +++ 6.58 227 A Iowa 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.43 304 H Louisiana Tech 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.91 320 H Florida 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.51 322 H Florida 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 7.51 327 H Auburn 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 11.12 407 A Kansas State 16-10 6 0 +++ 6.21 529 H Alabama State 21- 3 18 6 +++ 8.01 308 H North Florida 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.71 410 A East Carolina 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.33 414 A UAB 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.47 419 A Texas 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.06 423 A Tennessee 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.28 606 H St. John's 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.40 214 H Washington State 8- 1 7 4 + 3.25 221 H Rhode Island 11- 1 10 8 + 2.50 310 H Troy 7- 3 4 2 + 2.47 317 H Texas 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.71 328 H Auburn 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.12 329 H Auburn 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.12 402 A Oklahoma 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.66 501 H Pittsburgh 5- 0 5 1 + 3.61 502 H Vanderbilt 8- 5 3 1 + 2.37 508 A South Carolina 8- 3 5 2 + 3.15 514 A Jacksonville State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.68 516 H Ole Miss 6- 2 4 0 + 3.91 531 A Oklahoma State 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.84 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4- 8 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.47 -1.53
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 8- 1 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.47 11.06
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 11- 1 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.47 11.06
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 7 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 -0.68
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 2-15 -6.10 12.32 0.68 0.47 -1.27
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 19- 7 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.47 9.51
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 8- 5 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.47 7.56
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 11- 1 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.47 7.56
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4-14 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 -0.61
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 12- 2 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.47 14.03
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 8- 7 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.47 14.44
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 2- 0 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.47 11.97
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 4 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.47 11.16
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 13- 2 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.47 11.68
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 7- 4 -8.85 9.58 0.68 0.47 9.57
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 9- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.47 10.55
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 12- 2 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.47 10.55
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 3 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 13.13
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 4- 7 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.47 -0.77
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 7- 8 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.47 -0.77
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 4- 6 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.47 -0.77
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3- 1 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.47 16.15
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 0 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.47 15.04
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 8-19 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.47 -1.19
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 14- 7 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.47 15.04
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 6- 2 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.47 9.90
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 11- 1 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.47 15.60
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 2 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.47 15.60
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 1 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.47 15.60
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.47 15.19
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 10- 7 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.47 15.17
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.47 -0.50
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.47 15.17
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 16-10 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.47 14.76
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.47 14.87
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 6-15 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.47 -0.71
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2- 3 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.47 -0.71
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 12- 6 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.47 13.13
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-10 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.47 -0.06
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 3 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.47 -0.06
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2- 1 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.47 17.41
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 2-11 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.47 -1.33
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 12- 8 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 14.83
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 0-10 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 -0.59
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 4-11 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.47 -0.59
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 13.97
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 5- 0 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.47 13.26
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 8- 5 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.47 13.97
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 1- 6 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.47 -0.70
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 8- 3 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 12.83
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 9- 6 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 12.83
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 7- 6 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.47 12.83
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.47 15.19
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 0- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.47 -1.12
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 14.48
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3-13 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.47 -0.54
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 21- 3 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 0.47 8.97
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 7- 5 -4.93 13.50 0.68 0.47 13.22
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 7- 5 -4.93 13.50 0.68 0.47 13.22
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 9- 7 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.47 15.34
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 8- 0 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.47 11.20
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-14 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.47 -0.06
------
534.06
|
winning pts = 548.6182 losing points = -14.5613
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------